Morning Briefing: September 6th, 2012
By Steve Deace
God Gets Booed at Democrat Convention
After being roundly criticized for a party platform that omitted God and Jerusalem as the rightful capital of Israel, some Democrat leaders decided to alter their “living, breathing platform” in the middle of the convention to include them. However, clearly not all Democrats agreed with the move. In this stunning video, watch and listen for yourself as God gets booed by delegates at the Democrat Convention. Give those delegates some credit for honestly shaking their first at God. Considering everything counter to the Laws of Nature and Nature’s God in the party platform, at least they’re being sincerely wicked rather than pretending God endorses their positions. As I’ve been saying for years now, at this point the Democrat Party merely exists primarily as a vehicle for promoting child killing and homosexuality. And since God opposes those things, it simply makes sense He’d get booed by those that don’t.
Maturity vs. Likability
Mitt Romney continues to struggle with some of the highest unfavorables of any presidential challenger in the history of modern polling, exposing what the mainstream media is describing as a “likability gap.” But friend of the program Dr. Timothy Daughtry wonders in this think piece whether President Obama can overcome his own “maturity gap” given his record of failures and excuses.
Where is the Bounce?
Some of the Romulans were predicting an 11-point bounce out of the Republican Convention. Dick Morris, who hasn’t been right about anything since he was working for Bill Clinton, predicted a 7-point bounce. Well, one week later it appears Romney actually got no bounce. Romney’s odds of winning the White House have actually declined on Intrade from 42.3% a week ago to 41.4% this morning. He did gain a point in the The Real Clear Politics polling average from a week ago, but far below what historically is seen from party conventions, which on average is about a 5-point bounce. My guess is Obama won’t get much of a bounce next week out of the Democrat Convention, either.
Because most Americans aren’t enthusiastic about having either of these guys in the White House for the next four years, and most of those that are already have their minds made up. They’re just aren’t enough undecideds to produce bounces or swings. All of the Romulan apologists who keep forecasting what needs to happen for a Romney landslide, like a big bounce out of the convention, never bother to then note when the latest benchmark isn’t cleared. Sure, Romney could win, but there won’t be a landslide here either way. This election isn’t like 1980. It’s more like 2004. This will be a grind and a race to the bottom. The only question is whether Romney can win that one more battleground state to put him over the top in the Electoral College that John Kerry couldn’t in that election.
By the way, in case you were wondering, the post-Labor Day RCP polling average was Obama +2 over McCain back in 2008. Obama is polling behind where he was four years ago at this time, and Romney is polling slightly behind where McCain was at this time. Following the GOP Convention in 2004, George W. Bush surged to +6 over John Kerry in the post-Labor Day RCP polling average.
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