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New Hampshire Winners and Losers

by Jen Green

The New Hampshire Primary was the “other side of the coin” from the Iowa caucuses. In fact, if the caucus was Dr. Jekyll, the New Hampshire primary is Mr. Hyde. While much is made about the caucuses being “overrun” by evangelical, socially conservative voters, in the granite state almost 50 percent of those polled upon exiting the voting identified themselves as “moderate and liberal.” 87 percent of voters said they are “not evangelical or born again” although 70 percent of them identify as either Catholic or Protestant. In fact, only 53 percent of those polled said that they are registered Republicans.

So, yeah. It’s a different kettle of fish up there in New Hampshire. But, we had a primary, so let’s examine the winners, the losers, and who is holding their own.

Winners

Mitt Romney: It might not have been the landslide victory the campaign hoped for (needed), but still, it’s a win. And, if the vote counts from Iowa hold up, he can say he has won (barely) the first two contests of the 2012 election process. The media is already spinning it as serious momentum . . . and since this is largely a game of perceptions, then Mitt has momentum.

Ron Paul: It was a good night for Ron Paul. This solid second place finish represents almost a threefold better finish than in 2008, lots of independent cross-over votes, and a growing segment of the population who is waking up to the realization that the establishment represents absolutely no relief from our ever-growing government dependency.

The Mainstream Media: They’ve been telling us Romney is the frontrunner while whitewashing his record . . . and now their self-fulfilling prophecy may be coming true.

Losers

Rick Santorum: Iowa’s (true?) caucus winner could not capitalize on the momentum from his Iowa win and translate it into New Hampshire votes, despite having visited the state 30 or so times. His struggle for fourth place against Gingrich mirrors what happened to Mike Huckabee in 2008. The conundrum is compounded by the fact that Rick Perry will also be running in South Carolina . . . the next state that Santorum could (and must) do well in.

The Union Leader/Gingrich: Maybe it was because they called him “not the perfect candidate,” but the conservative New Hampshire newspaper’s endorsement did little to help Newt Gingrich in last night’s primary. He’s still fighting, though, and he’s onto the much more negative-ad friendly ground of socially-conservative South Carolina to expose Mitt Romney’s liberal record.

Jon Huntsman: Iowans pick corn and not presidents and New Hampshire Republicans choose Romney and not Huntsman. He can take little comfort that most of the Democrats who chose to vote in a Republican primary voted for him. There’s that.

Holding their Own

Rick Perry: Yes, I know, he got zip, zilch, nada in New Hampshire. But, you can’t win when you don’t play—and he never intended to play or win in that state. Instead, he’s been trying to beef up his ground game in South Carolina. Whether he’s trying to win or just playing spoiler (a la Fred Thompson), he wasted little time and effort in the Granite State.

There you have it. Another New Hamphire Primary has come and gone. Take a few breaths . . . and South Carolina, here we come.

  • Righteous R

    Sanitorium did a good job running around Iowa doing his best full Grassley for a year, got the Pizza Ranch base behind him with the BVP endorsement, reailty is, Iowa is not the other 49 states…GAME OVER MAN !!!!!!GAME OVER !!!!!!! as for Newt, never gave him a chance since his early days in Iowa……probably by November, Deace will be mad at the GOP again, vote for RP or O change again….

    right·eous/ˈrīCHəs/
    Adjective:(of a person or conduct) Morally right or justifiable; virtuous.Perfectly wonderful; fine and genuine.

  • Kevbo65

    Game not over man! While it was disappointing to see New Hampshire fall for what the media tells them and just vote as they are told, South Carolina is another chance to show Santorum is still a force in this race…Ron Paul has hit the ceiling in support and Mitt is not showing to be a strong candidate even though they trot the establishment out to tell us so…Perry is trying to play the role of Fred Thompson and I just wished that Newt and Santorum would merge together to provide a strong force and the clear alternative to what we are being fed…The longer it takes for this to happen, the more it plays out how the media wants it to…You gotta know that the media keeps pushing Mitt because they now see this is the one chance for the Democrats to pull this out in November…New Hampshire is a Democratic state (or at has been for the last presidential election cycles) and was a home field advantage for Mitter…I think that since he couldn’t pull much more support than he has 4 years ago, this race remains wide open…

    With all of that said, South Carolina will probably be the race that propels the winner to top status as the winner of this state usually wins the nomination…Get ready South Carolina for the massive amount of commercials and phone calls that are coming your way as everyone will be putting all hands on deck and money will flow like you wouldn’t believe…

    • Ross Pomroy

      I thought Dr. Paul hit the ceiling @ 10%. Now he’s @ 23%.Sorry, but the guy who supports not to iniate force on people or other governments(a lot like I believe Jesus) is not going away. See you in SC and beyond. Whereas Santorum is done.

    • Anonymous

      Disappointing to see NH fall for? If you read Jen’s article you understand why.  Their mostly democrats or liberal Republicans! And as James O’ Keefe has proved, you can vote even if you are dead in New Hampshire!

      • James

        What’s your definition of a liberal? Seems we have all liberals running on the republican ticket except for one – Look at past positions not Rhetoric!

        • Anonymous

          Part of the definition is one who ignores the evil from Iran who has promised to wipe Israel off the map and kill Americans. One who wants to put their head in the sand and pretend that all we have to do is bring back every solder we have and say nice things to our enemies that no harm will come to us, and then 4 years later a real conservative will have to build our military back up and do as Reagan said “Peace through strength”.

          • James

            Then follow the Constitution and make a declaration of war.

            “When tyranny and oppression come to this land, it will be in the guise of fighting a foreign foe.” — James Madison

          • James

            That is LIBERAL – Neo-cons are disenfranchised Democrats – Make the world safe for democracy – Wildrow Wilson a Democrat!

    • James

      Santorum is the liberal – No Child Left behind, Federal (unfunded) medical prescritpion drug benefits, voted to consistently raise the debt ceiling, endorsed Romney last time around.
      Yes I agree too many do infact listen to the media telling us who is and who is not Consevative. Gingrich is no better – Status quo.
      Voting for the lesser of two evils – is the republicans and democrats best weapon – The status quo always wins – Go Ron Paul!

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