“If you have courage and convictions, your new soulmate will be Steve Deace. He delivers.” —Mike Huckabee
Steve Deace > News > 2012 Iowa Caucuses > Deace’s Iowa Caucus Power Ratings: 10/17/11

Radio shows

Deace’s Iowa Caucus Power Ratings: 10/17/11

Disclaimer: These rankings are my analysis and not my preference. I have yet to endorse a candidate, and have no immediate plans to do so. 

By Steve Deace

1. Ron Paul (18%)

If the Caucuses were held today he would win because he’s the only candidate with the combination of an excited base and an excellent organization. However, the Caucuses being held January 3rd could hurt him because a lot of his loyal young voters will still be on Christmas break.

2. Mitt Romney (16%) 
He can fly in and buy double-digits the final month of the campaign if this remains as balkanized amongst conservatives as it currently is. There is no way he will finish with the 25% he got in a losing effort in 2008, but if things continue as-is he won’t have to. 

3. Michele Bachmann (15%)
She has stabilized somewhat after an epic free fall since winning the Straw Poll, but still has a ways to go. The town hall with Donald Trump is an “interesting” way to generate buzz for her campaign. 

4. Rick Santorum (14%)
Each day that Bachmann fails to go on offense, and Perry continues to implode, increases the chances he will be the surprise of these Caucuses. He’s working harder in Iowa than any other candidate right now. 

5. Rick Perry (13%)
Still on the downward slide, with no end in sight until he finds a game changer. It’s been stunning to watch his fall from grace. It will be fascinating to see if he has a second wind. 

6. Newt Gingrich (12%)
His speech on the judiciary will be music to conservatives’ ears after last year’s retention election, but he still needs an organization. 

7. Herman Cain (12%)
I don’t know any serious conservative activists in Iowa who don’t have at least some doubts about his true motives for running, which is why beyond Facebook he has no verifiable presence in the state. 

  • hatefalseweight

    Ron Paul has come out with game-changing pro-life ads and  realistic budget proposals to roll back the government / corporate crime operations to pre-MidEast invasion , pre-Wall st. financial terrorism heist era levels.

    We can’t expect Ron Paul to single-handedly block every abortion clinic doorway and implement pregnancy determination procedures at every rape triage.  

    We can’t continue to allow Luciferian one-world financial / economic policies to be put in place under the guise of “keeping us safe” or “protecting Israel.”

    Ron Paul’s agenda would return power to the people and save the country from the neo-liberal globalist agenda meant to bankrupt the country and leave us no choice but to accept being rolled into a one-world currency system or face pauperism on our own.

    Ron Paul to propose $1 trillion in spending cuts

    Ron Paul’s Economic Plan: Cut 5 Cabinet Agencies, Cut Taxes, Cut President’s Pay

    Ron Paul’s Pro-Life ad “Life”

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MkAsLPrnJGc

Deace on TV